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Campi Flegrei supervolcano raising anxiety among Italian residents
This entry was posted in Earth Changes, Earth Watch, Earthquake Omens?, High-risk potential hazard zone, Magma Plume activity, Planetary Tremor Event, Potential Earthchange hotspot, Seismic tremors, Signs of Magnetic Field weakening, Time - Event Acceleration, Volcano Watch. Bookmark the permalink.
A rising of 3 cm a month would have me a bit nervous too. It may not mean anything or it could result in a big kaboom. (Not being flippant here.) But I’m still not too sure about the safety in drilling. There haven’t been any problems – yet. But they haven’t reached the 3km mark yet. Just saying…
I do have a question. In recent years, what has been the greatest deformation of Yellowstone?
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From what I found there are places in the Yellowstone caldera that have risen by as much as 10 inches over the past few years. I searched under “Yellowstone deformation” and “yellowstone uplift” and found numerous sources ranging from user-friendly articles to technical articles from scientific journals. Can you imagine the pressure needed to raise an area roughly 35 by 45 miles by as much as 10 inches? Wow…
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To get a bit of perspective of what it would be like if this supervolcano blew, just look at the forecasts of the area that could be affected if Yellowstone blew. Yellowstone is in a relatively scarcely populated region of the US but its effects could be felt as far west as the coast and at least as far east as the Great Lakes region, with a zone of destruction centered on it of roughly fifty miles. Now put a monster like that into densely populated Europe. Southern Italy would be laid waste, and the ash from such an eruption would blanket the Balkans and most of Turkey; the effects would be dramatic all the way to the Caucasus. I can’t help but grin wryly whenever I read one of the experts trying to reassure people that there is no imminent danger – they always bring up the fact that they lack the empirical data to make any realistic forecast. It’s not just in America that the experts don’t want to go out on a limb with anything close to a prediction; scientists everywhere want to avoid being wrong in front of the public or worse their scientific peers, and they don’t want to bear the responsibility for causing a panic. So the rest of us are left in the dark…
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And then there were those scientists that, I believe, were sued because they didn’t accurately forecast an earthquake. I really don’t blame them for not knowing whether to speak out or not speak out.
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Yes, and they were in Italy, too! That’s the other side of the coin – it is nigh on impossible to predict when or when a big earthquake will strike. The only thing that scientists can do is give us probabilities. I can recall at least one instance of a scientists predicting an earthquake accurately, I believe in California, and possibly another in either China or Japan, but I would have to do some digging to find the references, and then they were most likely statistical flukes. I just find it somewhat amusing how quickly the geologists state that there’s no indications of an imminent eruption or earthquake – I guess you could call it gallows humor! Personally, I wish they could predict quakes accurately, because if they announced tonight that the Cascadia Subduction Zone (which is roughly 60-70 miles west of where I live on the Oregon coast) was going to produce a 9.0 quake tommorow I’d load up the car and hit the road!
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And then there were those scientists that have completely disappeared, and I don’t mean just a few either.
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AGREE with DavidGreyBeard: “. . .they always bring up the fact that they lack the empirical data to make any realistic forecast,” but that doesn’t stop them from drilling “a pilot hole to a depth of 500 meters,” just cuz, well, you know, doodz, it’s JUST a supervolcano caldera, and it’s not doin’ nothin’ but just LAYIN’ around all over the place, boilin’ up stinkin’ mud and crappin’ up the surf, you know? And it AIN’T like there’s a bunch of other magmatipic or tectonical activity, like EVERYWHERE or nothin’, so it ain’t gonna matter none if we poke around a little. And even if, you know, we, like, punch through a chamber dome, there is maybe like almost NO chance that molten rock is under pressure or anything down that far, yeah? I mean, that’s crazy! Besides, you know, we’re from Germany anyway, and we got us a helo, so what do we care, right?
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That was pretty good, niebo! It astounds me that anyone would want to drill holes in a supervolcano with inflating magma chamber! They have been doing similar things around the Paulina Caldera here in Oregon, trying to tap into new sources of geothermal energy. I’m telling you, it sounds like the plot for a SyFy channel disaster movie!
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I agree davidgreybeard, I’ve seen a couple of SyFy channel movies like that.
And neibo, I just want to say that I love reading your comments. They speak the truth and often give me a good chuckle. 🙂
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That’s pretty funny, niebo! I can hear them now: “Ach, ve are zo very sorry zat ve voke up der supervolcano mit our drillink!”
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bel servizio da provare, complimenti per il blog 😉 Continuo a seguirvi, aspetto con ansia nuovi aggiornamenti!!
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