Winter forecast: big snowfall predicted for Eastern U.S. cities

August 16, 2012NEW YORK - After a 2011-2012 winter that saw little snow, the mid-Atlantic and southern New England states will get a snow dump this winter, forecasters say. Above-normal snowfall during winter 2012-2013 is forecast for the major I-95 cities including New York, Philadelphia, Baltimore and Washington, reported Wednesday. “The I-95 cities could get hit pretty good,” forecaster Paul Pastelok said. “It’s a matter of getting the cold to phase in with the huge systems that we are going to see coming out of the southern branch of the jet stream this year.” The presence — and strength — of El Nino conditions in the Pacific Ocean are used to project how active the winter season will be, forecasters said. El Nino warming of ocean water and the air above it causes weather patterns to change globally, and El Nino winters feature a strong southern branch of the jet stream across the United States, said. When the strong southern jet stream phases with the northern branch of the jet stream, meteorologists said, big storms can hit the east coast. –TD
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39 Responses to Winter forecast: big snowfall predicted for Eastern U.S. cities

  1. LouiseGray says:

    We’ll see. They don’t know everything.

  2. Irene C says:

    And once again, our area in the Midwest (Ohio) will see little snow. Not good for drought stricken areas.

    • Susan J. Bannister says:

      You are so right–it’s been mild the last two years and here we go again. It’s a sad state of affairs for the farmers, our rivers, streams, wildlife, birds, fish, animals that forage and ships that can make it through the Great Lakes. It’s getting worse!

    • Artoro says:

      Irene C.

      I was in Ohio this summer (my home state) and we didn’t get much snow last winter and it shows. I don’t think the area can survive another winter without (at least) the normal amount of snow this winter. We can only hope that the forcaster’s are correct.

  3. James says:

    They were also predicting this time last year that El Nina or La Nina was going to cause another bad winter with lots of snow last year. Their predication failed. I hope we get a lot of cold and a lot of snow this year.

  4. Sam Beckett says:

    Haha winter!?!? Your kidding right? It has been over 100 degrees everday this month here in CA & here it stays in the high 80′s to mid 90′s from from September until 1st week or 2 of November….winter is so far from my mind.

  5. pagan66 says:

    I live in the Southern Hem but if what I am seeing with all the heat records being broken in the Northern & what I have read in both Alvin’s book TEP & what I’ve read on this site is anything to go by, I’d say that yes, the US is in for a dreadfully cold Winter. Seems Nature is flucuating wildly between record extremes of both hot & cold & it’s only going to get worse & more noticeable as the seasons pass. Stay safe all.


  6. hilly7 says:

    You all will love this. Here in TN some of us look at bugs, main one is the harry caterpillar (species ?). Brown is mild and black is bad or hard and it goes by the majority of what is seen. I and a couple of other people have been noticing mostly black ones this year. I’ve seldom seen solid black ones in all these years. So that just means a bad winter, stock extra hay and feed. Most wasps and yellow jackets are building in buildings and high. Usually a sign of snows and inside means cold. Ok, not as technological as Doppler, but far more accurate. Kind of like watching cattle, horses, or goats/sheep head for a barn if the rain will be heavy but stand in the field if the winds will be hard, usually at the lower areas. The thing I can’t figure is all these black birds that have been here all year long. Looks like an Alfred Hitchcock movie.

    • krystal says:

      That is why I have a great respect for farmers, they watch nature and animal behaviors, and any changes in animals’ furring or color of insects, farmers are very observant when it comes to crops. Native Americans were that way as well… as it is said in Luke 12: 54-56… even though it means for Christians to be watchful of signs, but Jesus knows that we have that capability to watch the “storm” and actual storms as well.

    • Wiseguy says:

      Hi Hilly7, this is exactly what I like to hear, the signs from nature… Thank you so much for those forecasts. Once and for all, men will learn the hard way that nature is stronger and he knows nothing at all regarding weather, nature, wildlife. We have to be so humble and so little… In my area (Quebec, Canada) They are all wrong with daily weather forecasts, blaming, El Nino, La Nina, Jetstream… Don’t you see, nothing is working anymore, we have a tropical climate this summer, here… In the Winterland !!!!
      If you have more forecasts like that please share with us, thanks again to you and Alvin.

      • You’re welcome, Wiseguy.


      • hilly7 says:

        Your welcome. I don’t trust the weather people either, lol. The comment on blue does work, but we’ve had them build under the porch too this year. Sounds bad but I tossed a cup of gas on them, instant death. Most of the time though, unless my wife makes me, I just ignore them, have 2 big nests in a garage I pass each day within a foot. I’ve taught one daughter to read the signs God provides through nature, and how to work with it rather than against. To put back when we take. To be thankful enough not to take more than we need. She is deaf so she reads signs anyway, very observant. I teach her what I was taught, some of the grandkids too, but they think I’m just foolish. :)

    • Nkosazana says:

      Accurate hilly. Now how do I get the wasps out of my porch roof?

      • TexasRedNeck says:

        >> Nkosazana <<, You may think this is a joke, it's not. Paint the ceiling of your porch "SKY BLUE" the wasp and bee's think it is part of the natural sky and WILL NOT try to build their nest up there. IT DOES WORK, people in the south do this all the time.
        Here in Texas we have lots of "critters" that like to build nest on porches this stops them without using chemical sprays. Kinda puts out the "No Vacancy Sign" to them.

      • Spray some watered down neem oil in there. Worked for me!!!

    • Artoro says:


      Your method is probably much better than Doppler, and I’ll bet your claim is correct because nature rules.

      • hilly7 says:

        I picked some of the corn for seed and some for scratch feed and some for grinding, we put up enough last year. Anyway, the husks are thick which also point to a bad winter. The animals winter coats are coming in heavy too. Also points to a bad winter. All the signs are right in line but who knows with this crazy weather we’ve had the last few years.

    • James says:

      The animals, bugs, and plants will tell you what to expect for the seasons. This has been the first time I have seen wasps move a nest from under the eve of my house into a protected area (small opening between some boards on the porch)(we don’t kill anything, just encourage certain things to live elsewhere). I live 30 miles from San Francisco and we have mild weather as we have a breeze from the bay. So, it has not been particular hot and weather like other years except for being dry. A magnolia tree was just a mass of blooms, never seen a tree put so much energy into blooming, and then up and died. It was not from a lack of water as fruit trees around it are fine, and no bugs attacked it. So, just not really knowing what to expect for the winter. Soul, spirit, dry food, water, cooking supplies, clothing, alternate shelter all ready for what ever comes.

    • Irene C says:

      There is a meteorologist out of Cleveland OH who uses the Wooley Bear caterpillar to “predict” the winter weather in the area. Has something to do with the width and number of brown and black rings. He’s been doing this for years. Not sure how accurate he has been, but it has to be a better forecast than some of the scientific “guesswork” I’ve seen. I grew up living in the country, on a farm, and I regret losing some of the knowledge from nature I had learned. I guess TV and internet has made us lazy and prone to relying on what other people (“experts”) say. We need to get back to watching the signs.

    • prayntongues says:

      OH YEAHHHH!!! The “wooly worms”!!! I lived in Illinois from 30-08 and seen these little critters in the fall. The farmers knew what kind of winter was coming by the color and number (plenty or scarce) of the wooly worms. They were right too! Whoa,the Parable of the Fig Tree just popped up in my mind, keep your eyes and ears open, things are going to get very interesting

  7. crimsonthorn says:

    I only hope that we get some snow here in Saskatchewan as I got in Québec :-)

  8. Warren says:

    Hi Alvin,

    With everything happening so fast and so sudden, my biggest concern is anyone going to be ready for all the events? My thoughts and prayers goes out to my family and friends, God Bless you and keeping up with these events. God Bless you and your awesome work.


  9. Craig says:

    I hate these predictions, they really don’t have a clue what it’s going to be like in 10 days never mind in winter. It’s impossible to predict. They said we were going to have a sever winter in the UK last year and it was probably one of the mildest for a long time, I was still mowing the grass at the tail end of November, We’ll just have to wait till it’s closer to see what it’s going to be like although would quite like to see a lot of snow :)

  10. M C says:

    They dont know and cant possibly forecast what will happen the weather models are longer working for them.

    last winter was so mild around here we basically had no winter but a few years earlier we had a run of several weeks in the sub zero range that was difficult to deal with.

  11. Bill r says:

    Ha ha. Accu weather. Not accurate. Got a snowblower still sitting in garage never used last year a bad winter predicted by accu weather

  12. I hope not, because I have to drive to work, and my car is a toyota good for regular weather nothing extreme like heavy snow. We will soon see, after all we got our first snow in early October.

  13. SoSo says:

    We have had virtually no “winters” here in years. This past winter consisted of flip flops, sweaters and shorts. We had crazy hail storms though and green looking skies. That was our winter this year.

  14. Wiseguy says:

    Hi Alvin, what do you think about yesterday’s Reykjanes Ridges strong quakes and today’s Central Mid-atlantic Ridge shallow quakes… Do you think it could be a matter of days before a major one hit this area or pressure is building ?

  15. LouiseGray says:

    Additionally, it is always good to be prepared. However, there is a fear factor at work here. “They” want to scare us. I refuse to let them manipulate me. There is not too much any of us can do about the weather. If where you live is anything like here, when the media reports of an oncoming snow storm, good luck in doing a quick grocery shop because everyone is so concerned about running out of snacks and toilet paper that the supermarket is ridiculously crowded. These bad weather times are good opportunities for us to be mindful of others who could use a little assistance-senior citizens or disabled neighbors or anyone else in need.

  16. Granny Bear says:

    A thoughtful reminder. Thanks LouiseGray.

  17. Rhonda says:

    Here in Northern Idaho, the squirrels have been knocking down pine cones and storing them up like crazy since the first of August. They usually don’t start that activity until September. They know something!

  18. Joseph t. Repas says:

    Since I live in New Jersey near Philadelphia PA. I can tell you that Accu – weather that is based in State College PA is basically considered a joke out here. That is not a personal put down but people around here realize that forecasters like them will call for a bad winter every year knowing that one year it will finally happen and then they will look like heroes. I have not made a forecast for 2013 yet but I admit I missed the placing of the polar jet. It was as deep as I expected but on the other side of the planet. I did call for a strong tropical system to arrive this way at the end of this month and so far the summer forecast is right on target but we shall see. I do have very cold temperatures expected for the second half of December around these parts and I will be gathering data for 2013 soon. If you like I will prepare a 2013 forecast for Philadelphia area this autumn.

  19. All we can do is remember that Almighty God is on his throne and whatever happens is in his hands. So, why even worry? Worry is a waste of time, especially about what is coming tomorrow. Isn’t today enough to deal with? God’s will be done. Trust him to watch over you. Speak the blessings over your loved ones everyday…

  20. robind333 says:

    So far this year, I haven’t received any warnings about the possibility of any major snow storms. Last year God did provide the warning to me. The dream occurred on Oct 12,2011 I posted on my blog in the dream section 2 days later. End of October the US was hit with a major snow storm.

    Guess I’ll have to wait and see what God’s plans are this year…Thank you so much for your post and for your blog! I refer to it daily….Definitely can’t trust our government to keep us enlightened on all the issues such as your blog does…Many, many blessings to you…Robin

  21. John says:

    When the world is reduced to anarchy, I think the ones that will stand the best chance of survival will be the ones who are praying with the same intensity and same devotion as Jesus did. He rose early in the morning and prayed for hours before anyone else was awake. Elijah prayed that the rains would stop, and they did, and then latter he prayed that the rains would start up again, and they did. The completed prepper must have more than supplies, but must have a prayer life akin to that of Jesus and Elijah. Only those walking in a supernatural life style will survive and be able to help those around them.

  22. Djhfreak013 says:

    I live in Atlanta. Could we get a big snowstorm like in 2011? Or just a little snow?

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