Ebola cases estimated to hit 1.4 million by mid-January: dead corpses dumped in rivers

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September 2014AFRICA — New estimates by the World Health Organization and the U.S. health agency are warning that the number of Ebola cases could soar dramatically – the U.S. says up to 1.4 million by mid-January in two nations alone – unless efforts to curb the outbreak are significantly ramped up. Since the first cases were reported six months ago, the tally of cases in West Africa has reached an estimated 5,800 illnesses and over 2,800 deaths. But the U.N. health agency has warned that tallies of recorded cases and deaths are likely to be gross underestimates of the toll that the killer virus is wreaking on West Africa. The U.N. health agency said Tuesday that the true death toll for Liberia, the hardest-hit nation in the outbreak, may never be known, since many bodies of Ebola victims in a crowded slum in the capital, Monrovia, have simply been thrown into nearby rivers. In its new analysis, WHO said Ebola cases are rising exponentially and warned the disease could sicken people for years to come without better control measures. The WHO’s calculations are based on reported cases only. The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, however, released its own predictions Tuesday for the epidemic’s toll, based partly on the assumption that Ebola cases are being underreported. The report says there could be up to 21,000 reported and unreported cases in Liberia and Sierra Leone alone by the end of this month and that cases could balloon to as many as 1.4 million by mid-January.
Experts caution those predictions don’t take into account response efforts. The CDC’s numbers seem “somewhat pessimistic” and do not account for infection control efforts already underway, said Dr. Richard Wenzel, a Virginia Commonwealth University scientist who formerly led the International Society for Infectious Diseases. In recent weeks, health officials worldwide have stepped up efforts to provide aid, but the virus is still spreading. There aren’t enough hospital beds, health workers or even soap and water in the hardest-hit West African countries: Guinea, Sierra Leone and Liberia. Last week, the U.S. announced it would build more than a dozen medical centers in Liberia and send 3,000 troops to help. Britain and France have also pledged to build treatment centers in Sierra Leone and Guinea and the World Bank and UNICEF have sent more than $1 million worth of supplies to the region. “We’re beginning to see some signs in the response that gives us hope this increase in cases won’t happen,” said Christopher Dye, WHO’s director of strategy and co-author of the study published by the New England Journal of Medicine, who acknowledged the predictions come with a lot of uncertainties. “This is a bit like weather forecasting. We can do it a few days in advance, but looking a few weeks or months ahead is very difficult.” WHO also calculated the death rate to be about 70 percent among hospitalized patients but noted many Ebola cases were only identified after they died. Dye said there was no proof Ebola was more infectious or deadly than in previous outbreaks. The WHO also reports that new figures suggest that 70% of those infected with Ebola in West Africa have passed away from it, higher than previously reported.
Outside experts questioned WHO’s projections and said Ebola’s spread would ultimately be slowed not only by containment measures but by changes in people’s behavior. “It’s a big assumption that nothing will change in the current outbreak response,” said Dr. Armand Sprecher, an infectious diseases specialist at Doctors Without Borders. “Ebola outbreaks usually end when people stop touching the sick,” he said. “The outbreak is not going to end tomorrow but there are things we can do to reduce the case count.” Local health officials have launched campaigns to educate people about the symptoms of Ebola and not to touch the sick or the dead. Sprecher was also unconvinced that Ebola could continue causing cases for years. He said diseases that persist for years usually undergo significant changes to become less deadly or transmissible. Dye and colleagues wrote they expected the numbers of cases and deaths from Ebola to continue rising from hundreds to thousands of cases per week in the coming months – and reach 21,000 by early November. He said it was worrisome that new cases were popping up in areas that hadn’t previously reported Ebola, like in parts of Guinea. Scientists said the response to Ebola in the next few months would be crucial. –WJLA
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18 Responses to Ebola cases estimated to hit 1.4 million by mid-January: dead corpses dumped in rivers

  1. visionary22 says:

    If they are throwing the bodies into the rivers…isn’t that spreading it more, through the water supply?

    Like

  2. Puckles says:

    This is just beyond sad.

    Like

  3. George says:

    Now the rivers! Ebola will arrive world wide one way or the other.

    Like

  4. Dennis E. says:

    How about that……..it seems attempts by the international community is wasted if some order is not established.

    Like

  5. Bill Moylan says:

    The people in white protective clothing are the bravest on the planet. My Heart goes out to them!

    Like

  6. Amy Eyrie says:

    If the West doesn’t do something, the virus will mutate, a potential nightmare.

    Like

  7. Debbie says:

    1.4 million is a number just unthinkable! My prayers for all those who suffer from this. Hard to comprehend right now. Thank -you Alvin! I looked on Aol News today nothing about this only Isis reported, these are truely sad times.

    Like

    • Thanks, Debbie. Trying to give you guys all the latest news on the outbreak.

      If you’re on the go, you can follow updates on TEP Twitter: https://twitter.com/Extinctionp

      Like

    • Anne says:

      Nov. 2009 in Ukraine Report: 11/06: “Mysterious Plague Virus cases have doubled overnight! The official “mysterious Plague virus is now at 871,037! This is up from just under a half million yesterday!”

      11/07 reports: Interapol had a Training Drill on the “Black Death/Plague, it being Bioterrorism in Sept. 2009, which took place in Poland. (Baxter International made the Swine Flu Vaccine).

      11/09 Doctor reports: “Over 1 million sick…Death is in 4 to 7 days. It invades the lungs. High threshold of morbidity among workers of medical fields. 4 doctors and 2 junior personnel died as a result of their professional duties. The hemorrhagic pneumonia killing those in Ukraine – IS NOT H1N1 (lungs bleeding). It is the SWINE FLU VACCINE!!!”

      Report: The Government in Ukraine is now rounding up anyone who speaks out against swine flu disinformation hype, or alarmism or AGAINST MANDATORY VACCINATIONS.”

      Report: 11/10 Minister of Health has taken unusual step, “They Sprayed the City, he explained, “with necessary products!”

      Report: A doctor in Western Ukraine was quoted as saying: ‘WE HAVE CARRIED OUT POST MORTEMS ON 2 VICTIMS AND FOUND THEIR LUNGS ARE A BLACK AS CHARCOAL. THEY LOOK LIKE THEY HAVE BEEN BURNED. IT’S TERRIFYING.”
      Croation priest appeals to everyone not to take the Swine Flu Shot – microchips are in the vaccine and your health will be controlled.

      Report: In Ukarine, a cocktail of 3 flu viruses seem to have mutated into a single pneumonic plague, similar to the Black Death and evola…hemorrghagic pneumonia.

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      • niebo says:

        Here’s a link with more on this story that I (and I’m guessing most of us) have never heard of:

        http://www.businessinsider.com/ukraine-black-lung-plague-kills-12-in-one-day-2009-11

        Like

      • Anne says:

        Dear niebo, I got my information as it unfolded from “Sherrie Questioning ALL”.

        Like

      • Yellow Bird says:

        thanx for the link niebo… you’re right, its the first ive heard of this. tried to hunt info yesterday and had difficulty finding anything much. very quiet

        Like

      • Yellow Bird says:

        doing some more digging, i came up with this report from Apr2013 of similar occurrences in Germany:
        http://investmentwatchblog.com/new-flu-that-causes-hemorrhagic-fever-and-organ-failure-now-in-germany-undiagnosed-illness-respiratory-fatal-biohazard-level-44-hazardous/

        hard to locate more info, again very quiet.
        i did find this suggested explanation as to the dynamic (what occurs), tho triggering factors still seem mysterious (why it only sometimes occurs):

        posted from Patricia Doyle, PhD
        http://www.flu.org.cn
        “It is not my intent to scare people about a possible coming outbreak. I simply look at all of the data on the subject and make personal judgement on what may or may not occur in the future should the virus become pandemic. It is my belief that people should have as much informaiton as possible which would enable them to plan ahead. I think that there would be much more “fear” if people woke up and found themselves in the middle of an outbreak. If people have advance warning they will be better prepared to act. People who are aware of possibilities can spend time researching the data and arriving at their own conclusions.
        “Just as the cytokine reaction in SARS did cause hemorrhagic symptoms in some cases, virulent pandemic strains of influenza, like the Spanish Flu also cause the inflamatory cytokines in the lungs and the hemorrhagic pneumonia.
        “These viruses were also more pathogenic, not simply because they were associated with increased levels of in vivo replication but also because they stimulated massive increases in the responses of inflammatory cytokines in the lungs of infected mice. The mice infected with HAsp-containing virus had increased recruitment of leukocytes to the sites of lung infection and had severe hemorrhage resembling the hemorrhagic pneumonia associated with human infections during the 1918?C1919 pandemic. ”
        full article can be read at http://www.rense.com/general63/ebola.htm

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  8. Dennis E. says:

    (Depopulation) Legalized murder

    Like

  9. jeff says:

    This same area of Africa is sought by ISIS and shown on their map. The WMD that were “lost” during the gulf war ended up in Syria and Libya. There is a U- variant Ebola virus that has been manufactured as a biological agent that is in the arsenal of many countries. It is an airborne dispersed agent that is a powder.
    Is this how it is spreading. ISIS?

    Like

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