June 15, 2012 – MEXICO – Carlotta, the third named storm of the eastern Pacific hurricane season, intensified into a hurricane roughly 330 miles southeast of Acapulco, Mexico. Carlotta is moving toward the northwest, and is to approach the Mexican coast as a hurricane late Friday night or Saturday. Hurricane warnings and hurricane watches have been posted. The western end of the hurricane warning now includes Acapulco. Carlotta is undergoing rapid intensification, and may reach Category two status before nearing the coast late Friday or early Saturday. Storm surge flooding, high surf, rip currents and high winds will be significant threats as the center of Carlotta approaches and hugs the coast. That said, the most grave concern is Carlotta’s expectation of slowing, then stalling near the Mexican coast, possibly for several days beginning later Saturday, continuing into possibly the middle of next week. Assuming the circulation of Carlotta can remain intact as it hovers, several days of torrential rainfall is likely to trigger life-threatening flooding and mudslides! Rainfall totals of over a foot are possible in some areas of southern Mexico, with heavy rainfall possibly extending as far east as southern Guatemala. In particular, the flood and mudslide danger appears particularly high in the mountains of the Mexican states of Oaxaca and Guerrero, potentially including the hills and mountains around Acapulco. Similar past events in Mexico have produced destructive and deadly mudslides, given the mountainous terrain in the region. If you have travel plans or interests in Acapulco, monitor closely the progress of Carlotta. –The Weather Channel
contribution by Josh B.