More cyclones than usual are on the way to Australian coast

October 17, 2011BRISBANENorthern Australia is facing another summer of more tropical cyclones than usual less than a year after Yasi – the biggest storm in a century – hit the Queensland coast. Yasi crossed the coast near Mission Beach, in north Queensland, early on February 3, devastating a number of towns in the region. The Bureau of Meteorology has warned that although conditions aren’t as intense as last season, Northern Australia can still expect an above average number of tropical cyclones in the coming summer. The bureau is forecasting a La Nina event, which is associated with above average rainfall. Climate models have led meteorologists to expect a slightly higher than average number of cyclones. The Southern Oscillation Index has remained in positive territory at 11.7 last month. Although this is not as high as the 25 on the index at the same time last year, forecasters remain concerned. “While this La Nina may be weaker than the last, this doesn’t mean we can expect fewer tropical cyclones than the previous season,” bureau climate prediction manager Dr Andrew Watkins said in a statement on Monday. “In other words we can’t afford to be complacent.” While the strength and path of a tropical cyclone is difficult to predict, the bureau has a large amount of historical data to help estimate cyclone activity. “During a La Nina, warmer waters in the western Pacific and regions to the north of Australia, and associated changes in circulation help focus tropical cyclone activity in the Coral and Timor seas,” bureau climatologist Joel Lisonbee said. While less than half of all cyclones near Australia’s eastern and western coasts directly affect the regions, it’s a different story on the northern coast. More than half of all cyclones near the northern coast will impact coastal regions. The tropical cyclone season is usually between November and April. –
contribution Gen
This entry was posted in Climate unraveling, Cloudburst storms with flashflooding, Earth Changes, Earth Watch, Extreme Weather Event, Unprecedented Flooding. Bookmark the permalink.

11 Responses to More cyclones than usual are on the way to Australian coast

  1. Thank you Alvin. I will make sure I send this on to my Australian friends.



  2. SamanthaH says:

    Bring it… Ill be in Fiiijiiii 🙂


  3. RainMan says:

    After cyclone Tacy hit Darwin (NT) in 1974 the building codes were upgraded and the city totally rebuilt using higher standards. It may be the safest place to live regardig cyclones. Unfortunately these devastating storms being unpredictable and the ever changing, the whole eastern seaboard down to NSW could be in for a bad season.
    Cyclone Yasi in 2011 (Northern Queensland) came further than ever expected by reaching Geogetown, 450 klm inland, and affected the minining town of Mt Isa.
    As is happening all over the world, nature is intensifying.


  4. RainMan says:

    ABC news, 17th Oct,
    Floods inundate Cambodian capital Phnom Penh as the government struggles to cope.


  5. Brian says:

    Alvin ~ I think you might have a false warning here for an approaching Cyclone to Queensland ?
    Im looking at the latest Australian Met Sat pic ( 18 Oct 11 08:32 UCT ) and I don’t see any cyclonic development ?
    Perth has a double cold front moving through streching down past Tazamania …


  6. jack canning says:

    the wind here near bundaberg is insane the last few days


  7. Brian says:

    Alvin ~ one can’t be to careful with the ” Bryce & Brycets ” in Oz…
    Or the Bryce Lawrence’s of New Zealand ( WCR 2011)…
    Ons hoop die Hane gaan Gat-Skop Saterdag in Bryceland…!!


  8. Albert says:

    The BOM is predicting up to 15 cyclones and category 6 cyclones.
    FACT: Category 5 is the maximum in human history and about 5 cyclones is normal.
    The fear campaign has started and the ocean has yet to rise 20 metres by today as predicted.


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