Researchers predict more heat-related deaths for Chicago

May 4, 2011CHICAGO – “Our study looks to quantify the impact of increased heat waves on human mortality. For a major U.S. city like Chicago, the impact will likely be profound and potentially devastating,” said Roger Peng of Johns Hopkins and lead author of the study published in Environmental Health Perspectives, in a press release. To make their predictions, Peng and his team developed three different possible scenarios of how climate change would affect Chicago from 2081 to 2100. They then used mortality, temperature, dew point, and air pollution records for the city from 1987 to 2005 to estimate how many more deaths would occur if the heat was turned up. Between May and October of 1987 to 2005, Chicago sizzled in 14 heat waves lasting an average 9.2 days. The heat extremes resulted in an estimated 53 excess deaths per year. Under the mildest estimated global warming scenario that number will more than triple to 166. The most extreme scenario dooms up to 2,217 more Chicago residents to heat related deaths each year. “It’s very difficult to make predictions, but given what we know now, absent any form of adaptation or mitigation, our study shows that climate change will exacerbate the health impact of heat waves across a range of plausible future scenarios,” said Peng.  – Discovery News
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1 Response to Researchers predict more heat-related deaths for Chicago

  1. K says:

    I’m from the South so I’m used to extreme heat in the summer especially humidity however I visited Chicago last summer and it was HOT lol only at night thanks to them being the windy city did we get relief , at night it feels like a nice spring day but during the day I melted

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