August 25, 2011 – MIAMI - Our projected path map below continues to paint an ominous picture by pointing Hurricane Irene right in the direction of the East Coast this weekend. The latest computer model guidance confirms this threat and the first hurricane watches have been issued for the United States. The 5 a.m. EDT forecast discussion Tuesday from Stacy Stewart, Sr. Hurricane Specialist at the National Hurricane Center mentioned Hurricane Irene is “forecast to become a larger than average hurricane.” This means its wind field, both of tropical storm-force and hurricane-force winds, will cover a large swath of real estate. Reason again not to focus solely on the path of the center of circulation, although it is around and especially east of the eye where the strongest winds will be. Our graphic below highlights the general area of wind threat from Hurricane Irene. As you can see, a large swath of the Northeast may see power outages and downed trees. The severity will be dictated by Irene’s exact path and intensity, which remain uncertain at this time. –The Weather Channel
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RT @Street_Insider: Mayor Bloomberg saying Hurricane Irene may require NYC evacuations $$
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Mayor Bloomberg Tells Newyorkers To Prepare For Evacuation http://bit.ly/qqhECr
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GOV MCDONNELL DECLARES STATE OF EMERGENCY AHEAD OF IRENE
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Hurricane Irene forecast shifts west, impacts on N.J. could be severe
State and National Weather Service officials are urging New Jersey residents to prepare for Hurricane Irene now, as several factors could align to make the impacts of the approaching cyclone potentially disastrous for New Jersey.
It’s important to note we are still days away from Irene, which was packing 115 mile per hour winds this morning as it swirled through the Bahamas, making its closest approach to the state and forecasts could still change. But as of this morning, forecasts have Irene tracking within miles of the New Jersey coast as a hurricane Sunday (see interactive map below), and the impacts of the storm statewide could
west pushes it closer to Florida Georgia SC and NC
http://www.nj.com/weather-guy/index.ssf/2011/08/hurricane_irene_forecast_shift.html
BreakingNews Breaking News
200,000 told to evacuate coastal NC counties – NewsObserver http://bit.ly/ob4M8G
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Dr Jeff Masters, chief meteorologist at wunderground.com:
” I am most concerned about the storm surge danger to North Carolina, Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey, New York, and the rest of the New England coast. Irene is capable of inundating portions of the coast under 10 – 15 feet of water, to the highest storm surge depths ever recorded. I strongly recommend that all residents of the mid-Atlantic and New England coast familiarize themselves with their storm surge risk.”
Last Weather Channel report has Irene at a Cat 2 when it hits the NYC area. Wall Street is one of the lowest areas on Manhattan Island — anout 7-10 feet above sea level. The Weather Channel said this storm could produce up to 40 foot wave because of the full moon, if it hits at high tide.
The subway system could be a mess and depending on the actual storm surge there could be a lot of flooding. They also ststed that the wind effects could be up to one category higher around buildings at the 20th story level & higher. Also concerning is the wind tunnel effect between the high rises.
I worry more about Brooklyn as that is where people live.
Well the East Coast is certainly catching it these days. Makes me think we on the West Coast are about due. Past due?
Irene’s flooding ‘could be a hundred-year event’
Miami (CNN) — Four governors declared states of emergency Thursday as Hurricane Irene threatened to wreak havoc along the United States’ Eastern Seaboard.
Virginia Gov. Bob McDonnell, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley declared emergencies for their states, while North Carolina Gov. Beverly Perdue declared a state of emergency in counties east of Interstate 95. The emergency declarations allow states to free funds and prepare resources that may be needed.
If Irene continues along its current track, “from a flooding perspective, this could be a hundred-year event,” Christie said. He encouraged voluntary evacuations to begin immediately. “Anybody who is on a barrier island should go,” he said, adding that on Friday people along the beaches should start thinking about moving to higher ground.
Read More at: http://edition.cnn.com/2011/WORLD/americas/08/25/tropical.weather/index.html?hpt=hp_t1
I have been watching The Weather Channel ever since this storm was named. At first I was fascinated because it had my name. Now I understand how someone with the name Katrina feels.
The subway system would not only be a mess, it would pretty much be destroyed. This isn’t just rain water that would be flooding the system, it will be storm surge which is salt water and as most people know, salt water is very corrosive.
And, unlike other major cities, there are many New Yorkers who do not drive and do not own cars. They rely solely on public transportation. Why buy and maintain a car when the system takes you anywhere you anywhere you want to go? So it is not only the poor and elderly that need to be evacuated, it is also many working people who are lower or upper middle class.
I worry about Brooklyn also, along with Lower Manhattan and Queens. Plus we need to remember places like New Jersey, Connecticut, and Maryland. Actually, the entire metro area and New England area. I don’t think that most people understand how bad this is going to be, no matter where landfall is.
Prayers for them all
Be blessed and Maranatha
IF this actually happens…. It would be a Huge Disaster for NY, and the whole USA.
- Nick
Perfectly said Irene. I’m sorry this hurricane is named like your name. Please know it is not named after you! I mean that as a compliment in every sense of the word. Love and light to you!!
HURRICANE IRENE DISCUSSION NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
500 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2011
THE EYE OF IRENE MOVED OVER ABACO ISLAND EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON. AN
AUTOMATED WEATHER STATION ON THE ISLAND MEASURED A MINIMUM PRESSURE
OF 950.4 MB AROUND 1700 UTC. THE AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING IRENE THIS AFTERNOON HAS REPORTED A 700 MB
PEAK-FLIGHT WIND OF 99 KT. ALTHOUGH RECENT AIRCRAFT DATA DO NOT
QUITE SUPPORT THE 100-KT ADVISORY INTENSITY…WE WILL HOLD THE
INTENSITY FOR A LITTLE LONGER TO SEE IF THE AIRCRAFT FINDS HIGHER
WINDS.
IRENE CONTINUES MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 12 KT. THERE HAS
BEEN NO CHANGE TO THE TRACK FORECAST REASONING. IRENE IS FORECAST
TO TURN NORTHWARD BY EARLY FRIDAY AS IT MOVES THROUGH A BREAK IN
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. AFTER 24 HOURS…THE HURRICANE IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE ON A HEADING BETWEEN NORTH AND NORTH-NORTHEAST AS A TROUGH
BYPASSES THE CYCLONE TO THE NORTH. THIS WILL LEAVE THE IRENE IN A
STEERING PATTERN THAT SHOULD KEEP THE HURRICANE ON THAT GENERAL
HEADING AS IT MOVES VERY NEAR OR OVER MID-ATLANTIC COAST. THE TRACK
GUIDANCE HAS COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT ON THIS SOLUTION…AND THE
CONFIDENCE IN THE TRACK FORECAST IS INCREASING. THE NEW TRACK HAS
BEEN NUDGED WESTWARD AND IS CLOSE TO THE CENTER OF THE GUIDANCE
ENVELOPE. IT IS ALSO IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE 1200 UTC GFS. SINCE
IRENE IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE…ONE SHOULD NOT FOCUS ON THE
EXACT TRACK OF IRENE…AS SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS WILL BE FELT WELL
AWAY FROM THE CENTER.
THERE IS STILL SOME TIME FOR IRENE TO STRENGTHEN AS IT WILL BE
MOVING OVER WARM WATER AND THE SHEAR REMAINS LOW. HOWEVER…THE
UPDATED FORECAST CALLS FOR A LITTLE LOWER INTENSITY OVER
THE FIRST 24-36 HOURS. IN ABOUT 48 HOURS…SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR IS
FORECAST TO INCREASE…WHICH SHOULD START A WEAKENING PROCESS.
HOWEVER…SINCE IRENE HAS SUCH A LARGE AND INTENSE CIRCULATION…
IT WILL PROBABLY BE SLOW TO WEAKEN.
Oyster Creek Nuclear Power Plant In State Of Extreme Weather Preparedness
“Oyster Creek is preparing to follow the necessary protocols once Hurricane Irene hits but the specific plans cannot be determined until the storm actually transpires, spokesperson Suzanne D’Ambrosio said.
“Exelon site and corporate personnel continue to carefully watch the progression of Hurricane Irene and are ready to take specific actions to protect the plant, personnel and the public,” she said.
Oyster Creek is in a state of extreme weather preparedness, D’Ambrosio said.
“Simply put, once it was determined that the plant could be affected by this storm, formal procedures and preparations were enacted to assure the safety of the plant, personnel and the public,” she said.”
MAP OF THE DAY: New York City Hurricane Evacuation Zones
Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/map-of-the-day-new-york-city-hurricane-evacuation-zones-2011-8#ixzz1W4wenDaT
Praying for all those in its path and praying for folks to help one another thru this.